Sha Tin · 2020-05-09
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BUDDIES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with AMAZING ONE PLUS second and DECRYPT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite BEAUTY LEGACY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BUDDIES Closed strongly 1.20.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · J Moore | C L Chau | J Moore | 4 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly H1/XB1/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 201.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | DECRYPT Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MORETHANLUCKY Led early B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 3.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | TIME TO CELEBRATE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | BALLISTIC KING K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 9 | 6.5 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly TT V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 11 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | KINGS SHIELD CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 12 | 85.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | GOOD STANDING B/XB A Hamelin · J Moore | A Hamelin | J Moore | 1 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | TRANSCENDENT TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 14.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | ARROGANT TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 96.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DECRYPT | 20.8% | 4.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 18.9% | 5.29 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | BUDDIES | 15.3% | 6.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | BALLISTIC KING | 10.7% | 9.36 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | TRANSCENDENT | 6.0% | 16.55 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 5.3% | 18.71 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD STANDING | 4.2% | 23.77 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | KINGS SHIELD | 4.0% | 24.72 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | MORETHANLUCKY | 3.5% | 28.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | CALIFORNIA WHIP | 3.3% | 29.99 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | DRAGON GENERAL | 2.8% | 36.12 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 2.6% | 37.77 | 2 |
| 13 | 9 | ARROGANT | 2.5% | 40.68 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 39
PLACE
4 21.5
8 351
10 17.5
QUINELLA
8,10 3,731.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 1,158
4,10 51.5
8,10 973.5
TIERCE
10,8,4 28,092
TRIO
4,8,10 5,498
FIRST 4
4,8,10,11 17,292
QUARTET
10,8,4,11 477,768
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/8 782
5/10 142.5