Sha Tin · 2020-05-09
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TOUCH OF LUCK, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Moore, won by N, with CLEAR CHOICE second and UNITE SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LONDON LUCKYSTAR finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOUCH OF LUCK Closed strongly CP 1.38.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 6.7 | N |
| 3 | 9 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 7 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 3 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 5 | 3.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 4.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT Led early H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO SR C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 6 | 30.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PING HAI TREASURE | 33.5% | 2.99 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | CLEAR CHOICE | 14.1% | 7.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 11.4% | 8.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 10.1% | 9.94 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 9.1% | 10.97 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 8.8% | 11.41 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | GREAT TREASURE | 5.2% | 19.06 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | UNITE SPIRIT | 4.3% | 23.17 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 3.5% | 28.73 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 120
PLACE
4 21
8 33
9 32.5
QUINELLA
4,8 380
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 110
4,9 118
8,9 218
TIERCE
8,4,9 8,548
TRIO
4,8,9 1,301
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 1,558
QUARTET
8,4,9,5 45,525
1ST DOUBLE
5/4 93
5/8 808
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 42.5