Sha Tin · 2020-05-09
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and SMILING CITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite JADE FORTUNE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.39.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 12 | 4.6 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | SMILING CITY CP-/SR-/P2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 8 | 9.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | TELECOM ROCKET CP H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 9 | 258.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | KA FORTUNE Closed strongly V/XB A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 14 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 43.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 1 | 22.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | HERCULES Closed strongly XB T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 11 | 120.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | KA YING BRILLIANCE P-/H/XB/B2 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 3 | 10.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | LUCKY VICTOR TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 10 | 391.0 | 28 |
| 14 | 12 | BLADE RACER Led early XB/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 7 | 79.0 | 28-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 16.7% | 6.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | JADE FORTUNE | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | TELECOM ROCKET | 14.5% | 6.89 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 12.2% | 8.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 11.8% | 8.51 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | SO WE JOY | 7.4% | 13.59 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | SMILING CITY | 5.8% | 17.36 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | KA FORTUNE | 5.5% | 18.22 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | STRATHCLYDE | 4.9% | 20.42 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | BLADE RACER | 2.1% | 47.60 | 14 |
| 11 | 1 | HERCULES | 1.8% | 56.93 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | GENERAL DINO | 1.3% | 79.37 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 1.1% | 89.55 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY VICTOR | 0.6% | 172.23 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 46
PLACE
3 22.5
4 16
11 38
QUINELLA
4,11 228.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 76
3,11 164.5
4,11 94
TIERCE
4,11,3 4,253
TRIO
3,4,11 764
FIRST 4
3,4,6,11 1,712
QUARTET
4,11,3,6 36,696
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21
A2 —
All pools (2 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 231.5
5/11 127.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/2,5,7/Any Combination 254,397