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Sha Tin · 2020-05-09

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.39.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui 12 4.6 HD
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 13 11.0 HD
3 0 SMILING CITY CP-/SR-/P2 C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 6.9 1/2
4 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · J Moore 8 9.9 1
5 0 JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man 4 3.9 2-1/2
6 0 TELECOM ROCKET CP H T Mo · Y S Tsui 2 7.8 3-3/4
7 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson 9 258.0 4-3/4
8 0 KA FORTUNE Closed strongly V/XB A Hamelin · L Ho 14 11.0 6-1/4
9 0 GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B B Shinn · D E Ferraris 5 43.0 8
10 0 STRATHCLYDE B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard 1 22.0 10
11 0 HERCULES Closed strongly XB T H So · C H Yip 11 120.0 10-1/4
12 0 KA YING BRILLIANCE P-/H/XB/B2 V Borges · T P Yung 3 10.0 16-1/2
13 0 LUCKY VICTOR TT H W Lai · K H Ting 10 391.0 28
14 0 BLADE RACER Led early XB/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 7 79.0 28-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and SMILING CITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite JADE FORTUNE finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU—2. PARTY EVERYDAY+0.2L3. SMILING CITY+0.5L4. SO WE JOY+1L5. JADE FORTUNE+2.5L6. TELECOM ROCKET+3.75L7. IMPECCABLE FELLOW+4.75L8. KA FORTUNE+6.25L9. GENERAL DINO+8L10. STRATHCLYDE+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PARTY EVERYDAY (16.7%) finished 2nd — the winner THIS ONE'S FOR YOU was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 16.7% 6.00 2
2 0 JADE FORTUNE 14.5% 6.88 5
3 0 TELECOM ROCKET 14.5% 6.89 6
4 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 12.2% 8.19 1
5 0 KA YING BRILLIANCE 11.8% 8.51 12
6 0 SO WE JOY 7.4% 13.59 4
7 0 SMILING CITY 5.8% 17.36 3
8 0 KA FORTUNE 5.5% 18.22 8
9 0 STRATHCLYDE 4.9% 20.42 10
10 0 BLADE RACER 2.1% 47.60 14
11 0 HERCULES 1.8% 56.93 11
12 0 GENERAL DINO 1.3% 79.37 9
13 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW 1.1% 89.55 7
14 0 LUCKY VICTOR 0.6% 172.23 13
PARTY EVERYDAYJADE FORTUNETELECOM ROCKETTHIS ONE'S FOR YOU — wonKA YING BRILLIANCESO WE JOYSMILING CITYKA FORTUNESTRATHCLYDEBLADE RACERHERCULESGENERAL DINOIMPECCABLE FELLOWLUCKY VICTOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 46

PLACE

3 22.5

4 16

11 38

QUINELLA

4,11 228.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 76

3,11 164.5

4,11 94

TIERCE

4,11,3 4,253

TRIO

3,4,11 764

FIRST 4

3,4,6,11 1,712

QUARTET

4,11,3,6 36,696

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 21

All pools (2 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/4 231.5

5/11 127.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,4,10/2,5,7/Any Combination 254,397