Sha Tin · 2020-05-09
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GALLANT LEGACY, ridden by V Borges and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-3/4, with GENERAL TRUMP second and DECISIVE TWELVE third. The 2.1 favourite ILUVATAAR finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GALLANT LEGACY SR/TT 1.09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 2 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GENERAL TRUMP TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 6 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | ARMOR STAR H1 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 136.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | APEX TOP B1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 54.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | UNIVERSAL CROWN XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 56.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING BONUS Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 3.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | ILUVATAAR H1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RUN THE TABLE B/H N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 3 | 58.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | KELMIMI WINS P-/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 12 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | BLAZING CONNECTION H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 264.0 | 25-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ILUVATAAR | 24.2% | 4.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 23.1% | 4.33 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING BONUS | 17.2% | 5.82 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | GALLANT LEGACY | 7.3% | 13.76 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | GENERAL TRUMP | 7.0% | 14.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ARMOR STAR | 4.8% | 20.88 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | BLAZING CONNECTION | 4.0% | 25.02 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | KELMIMI WINS | 3.6% | 27.96 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 3.5% | 28.26 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED WE STAND | 1.9% | 51.53 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | RUN THE TABLE | 1.7% | 59.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | APEX TOP | 1.7% | 59.70 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 169
PLACE
2 15
10 27
12 37.5
QUINELLA
10,12 686
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 61
2,12 104
10,12 137
TIERCE
12,10,2 5,754
TRIO
2,10,12 588
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 5,147
QUARTET
12,10,2,4 118,116
2ND DOUBLE
8/10 151.5
8/12 1,278
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 16.5
A3 —