Sha Tin · 2020-05-17
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly V-/TT- 2.16.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B- A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | KING PRINT Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN Closed strongly E N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREAT SMART B-/CP2/TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS Led early H/SR H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 13 | 89.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA Closed strongly B-/CP1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 198.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT P C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 4 | 34.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 11 | 6.7 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | AEROFLASH B-/CP2 V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 2 | 6.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN KID B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 6 | 28.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC B-/XB/V1/TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-17 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SKY GEM, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with ENJOYABLE SUCCESS second and KING PRINT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM | 24.7% | 4.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | KING PRINT | 20.8% | 4.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 11.4% | 8.78 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | AEROFLASH | 7.8% | 12.85 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 7.2% | 13.94 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 6.8% | 14.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 5.1% | 19.46 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 4.9% | 20.54 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 3.2% | 30.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 2.1% | 48.56 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN KID | 1.8% | 55.98 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 1.7% | 58.04 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 1.3% | 74.49 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 1.1% | 88.29 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 45
PLACE
2 24
4 32.5
10 17
QUINELLA
4,10 318
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 110.5
2,10 65
4,10 109
TIERCE
10,4,2 2,715
TRIO
2,4,10 395
FIRST 4
2,4,10,13 396
QUARTET
10,4,2,13 9,737
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A1 —
A3 —