Sha Tin · 2020-05-17
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INNER FLAME, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with PRESIDENT'S CHOICE second and YOUNG LEGEND third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INNER FLAME XB 1.08.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 11 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PING HAI BRAVO A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MIG ENERGY TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | ELIGERE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | TOM'S STYLE TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 2 | 117.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPERICH SR/B1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 7.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER QILIN XB/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 6 | 291.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HELAKU KNIGHT CP-/H/XB2 M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 5 | 109.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | KUNG FU FIGHTER M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 8 | 154.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY FORTUNE H1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 10 | 97.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INNER FLAME | 27.0% | 3.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | PING HAI BRAVO | 21.3% | 4.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 17.0% | 5.87 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | MIG ENERGY | 10.6% | 9.44 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | YOUNG LEGEND | 7.9% | 12.71 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPERICH | 7.1% | 14.10 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | ELIGERE | 4.2% | 23.99 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | KUNG FU FIGHTER | 2.0% | 49.80 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | TOM'S STYLE | 0.9% | 110.22 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 0.9% | 111.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 0.6% | 177.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPER QILIN | 0.6% | 179.68 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
1 20.5
3 15.5
11 17.5
QUINELLA
3,11 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 53.5
1,11 68
3,11 34
TIERCE
3,11,1 952
TRIO
1,3,11 194
FIRST 4
1,3,8,11 210
QUARTET
3,11,1,8 3,883
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/1,3,11 67,168
9TH DOUBLE
5/3 487
5/11 121.5
SIX UP
3,6/6,11/2,6/2,11/5,6/3,11 5,616
3/11/6/11/5/3 2,859,374
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
11/5/3 4,775
11/5/11 738