Sha Tin · 2020-05-17
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA Closed strongly B 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly H Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD Led early CP/XB/TT J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 11 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B/H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B1 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 41.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | WINNING CONTROLLER B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 21.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 14 | 562.0 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CASA DE FORCA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with CHEVALIER PRINCE second and CASIMIRO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CHEVALIER PRINCE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 19.1% | 5.22 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 15.2% | 6.57 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER | 11.9% | 8.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 10.9% | 9.21 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 9.0% | 11.13 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA | 7.6% | 13.18 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD | 4.2% | 23.53 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 4.2% | 23.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 3.3% | 29.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 3.3% | 30.11 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING CONTROLLER | 2.0% | 50.51 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.7% | 140.76 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 0.6% | 164.40 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 89.5
PLACE
3 24
6 14.5
10 18.5
QUINELLA
3,6 156
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 65.5
3,10 94.5
6,10 34.5
TIERCE
3,6,10 2,183
TRIO
3,6,10 266
FIRST 4
3,6,7,10 1,968
QUARTET
3,6,10,7 51,314
3 PICK 1
A2 41
A3 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 1,118
2/6 56.5