Sha Tin · 2020-05-17
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PICKEN Closed strongly 1.21.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 8 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HELLO DADDY B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 11 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 9 | 201.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Led early TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 6 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TEAM POWER C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TAKING AIM Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIKORITA XB1 V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 4 | 139.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 10 | 26.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PICKEN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with HIGH RISE SOLDIER second and LOBO'S LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite TAKING AIM finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 17.7% | 5.65 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 17.0% | 5.87 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | TEAM POWER | 15.7% | 6.38 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | PICKEN | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 10.1% | 9.91 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.39 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 5.3% | 18.73 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | HELLO DADDY | 2.9% | 34.81 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIKORITA | 0.8% | 130.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER | 0.8% | 131.08 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 107
PLACE
1 24
5 29
6 42.5
QUINELLA
5,6 813
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 140
1,6 211.5
5,6 209
TIERCE
5,6,1 13,324
TRIO
1,5,6 894
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 4,721
QUARTET
5,6,1,3 113,409
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 43
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
11/5 1,066
11/6 258.5