Sha Tin · 2020-05-17
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-17 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GIFT OF LIFELINE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A T Millard, won by SH, with MR ALDAN second and CHEERFUL LEADER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CHEERFUL LEADER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly CP-/B2 1.34.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 7.5 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 25.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | XIANG YIN Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ALPHA HEDGE CP N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EVER LAUGH B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | TUNG WAH GLORY P K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 7 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | REYNOLDS XB-/SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 19.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE H1/P1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 2 | 154.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | AWE Led early B/TT- C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 10 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 42.4% | 2.36 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | TUNG WAH GLORY | 17.7% | 5.64 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 15.8% | 6.32 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ALPHA HEDGE | 4.9% | 20.36 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | EVER LAUGH | 4.4% | 22.73 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | MR ALDAN | 3.4% | 29.73 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 3.1% | 31.80 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | XIANG YIN | 2.8% | 35.11 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | REYNOLDS | 2.7% | 37.08 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | AWE | 2.6% | 37.88 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 75.5
PLACE
2 62.5
6 20.5
8 12.5
QUINELLA
2,6 1,224
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 284
2,8 131
6,8 33.5
TIERCE
6,2,8 5,303
TRIO
2,6,8 497
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 1,542
QUARTET
6,2,8,3 41,668
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,11/2,6,8 14,023
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/2 330
11/6 378.5