Happy Valley · 2020-06-03
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WINSTON'S LAD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by NOSE, with DAILY BEAUTY second and ALL BEST FRIENDS third. The 4.0 favourite SUPER ALLIANCES finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINSTON'S LAD B 1.10.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 12.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 12 | DAILY BEAUTY TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 6 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 4.6 | N |
| 4 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK B Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 7 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SPACE H/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HOME MADE B/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER ALLIANCES J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 4.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER WINNER TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 6.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TIGER GLARE H1 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 10 | 122.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | ROSSE SCARPE XB H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 311.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 19.6% | 5.10 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK | 11.3% | 8.84 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.1% | 9.04 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | HOME MADE | 11.0% | 9.12 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER WINNER | 8.0% | 12.56 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 5.8% | 17.29 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | WINSTON'S LAD | 4.7% | 21.25 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | SPACE | 4.5% | 22.06 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | DAILY BEAUTY | 4.3% | 23.42 | 2 |
| 11 | 5 | TIGER GLARE | 3.0% | 33.71 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.7% | 148.22 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 126.5
PLACE
6 17.5
11 33
12 52.5
QUINELLA
11,12 1,006
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 116.5
6,12 158
11,12 289.5
TIERCE
11,12,6 13,419
TRIO
6,11,12 1,689
FIRST 4
6,8,11,12 3,468
QUARTET
11,12,6,8 96,494
1ST DOUBLE
6/11 1,255
6/12 219
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —