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Happy Valley · 2020-06-03

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1800m Course A 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RELIABLE TEAM Closed strongly B1 1.48.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 5 8.3 SH
2 0 BUTTERFIELD Led early TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 9 11.0 SH
3 0 HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore 7 15.0 3/4
4 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · C Fownes 4 3.1 3/4
5 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB C Schofield · C W Chang 8 9.7 1
6 0 HELENA BABY Closed strongly J Moreira · J Moore 6 6.8 2-1/4
7 0 INSAYSHABLE N Callan · Y S Tsui 1 7.7 2-1/2
8 0 SOLAR WAI WAI K C Leung · F C Lor 3 8.6 3-1/2
9 0 SUPER OASIS B/XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu 2 7.8 4-1/2
— 0 MISSION TYCOON K H Chan · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-03 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. RELIABLE TEAM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with BUTTERFIELD second and HELENE CHARISMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite COLUMBUS COUNTY finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RELIABLE TEAM—2. BUTTERFIELD+0.1L3. HELENE CHARISMA+0.75L4. COLUMBUS COUNTY+0.75L5. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+1L6. HELENA BABY+2.25L7. INSAYSHABLE+2.5L8. SOLAR WAI WAI+3.5L9. SUPER OASIS+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick SUPER OASIS (27.8%) finished 9th — the winner RELIABLE TEAM was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER OASIS 27.8% 3.59 9
2 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY 19.0% 5.25 4
3 0 RELIABLE TEAM 13.4% 7.44 1
4 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 10.8% 9.30 5
5 0 HELENA BABY 8.2% 12.15 6
6 0 SOLAR WAI WAI 7.8% 12.87 8
7 0 BUTTERFIELD 7.7% 12.99 2
8 0 INSAYSHABLE 3.3% 30.23 7
9 0 HELENE CHARISMA 1.9% 52.19 3
SUPER OASISCOLUMBUS COUNTYRELIABLE TEAM — wonRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINEHELENA BABYSOLAR WAI WAIBUTTERFIELDINSAYSHABLEHELENE CHARISMA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 83

PLACE

1 38

2 45

6 25

QUINELLA

1,6 559.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 161.5

1,6 158

2,6 171.5

TIERCE

6,1,2 7,344

TRIO

1,2,6 1,513

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 1,132

QUARTET

6,1,2,5 35,394

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,9/1,2,6 1,335,620

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 26

A1 —

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/1 180.5

2/6 563.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,9,12/2,7,9/Any Combination 638,655