Happy Valley · 2020-06-03
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-03 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. RELIABLE TEAM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with BUTTERFIELD second and HELENE CHARISMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite COLUMBUS COUNTY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RELIABLE TEAM Closed strongly B1 1.48.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 8.3 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD Led early TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 7 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 4 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 8 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | HELENA BABY Closed strongly J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 6 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | INSAYSHABLE N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SOLAR WAI WAI K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER OASIS B/XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.8 | 4-1/2 |
| — | 8 | MISSION TYCOON K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER OASIS | 27.8% | 3.59 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 19.0% | 5.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | RELIABLE TEAM | 13.4% | 7.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 10.8% | 9.30 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | HELENA BABY | 8.2% | 12.15 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 7.8% | 12.87 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 7.7% | 12.99 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | INSAYSHABLE | 3.3% | 30.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | HELENE CHARISMA | 1.9% | 52.19 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 83
PLACE
1 38
2 45
6 25
QUINELLA
1,6 559.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 161.5
1,6 158
2,6 171.5
TIERCE
6,1,2 7,344
TRIO
1,2,6 1,513
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 1,132
QUARTET
6,1,2,5 35,394
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/1,2,6 1,335,620
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/1 180.5
2/6 563.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,12/2,7,9/Any Combination 638,655