Happy Valley · 2020-06-03
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MURRAY'S PARTNERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with STARLIT KNIGHT second and UNIVERSAL GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite ORIENTAL ELITE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly B-/V1 1.39.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 13.0 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | STARLIT KNIGHT B T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ORIENTAL ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | GREEN ENVY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 6.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 11 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | AFTER ME A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.5 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 4.8 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 8 | 40.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 23.5% | 4.26 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | AFTER ME | 16.7% | 5.99 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | GREEN ENVY | 14.7% | 6.79 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 10.2% | 9.76 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | SMILING SUCCESS | 9.2% | 10.87 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 6.1% | 16.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 6.1% | 16.46 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 4.3% | 23.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 3.3% | 30.71 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | HAR HAR HEART | 2.9% | 34.87 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE | 1.9% | 51.42 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | EVEN KEEL | 1.1% | 95.23 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 132
PLACE
7 29.5
8 43.5
9 38
QUINELLA
8,9 623
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 198.5
7,9 150
8,9 182
TIERCE
8,9,7 8,575
TRIO
7,8,9 1,611
FIRST 4
2,7,8,9 2,564
QUARTET
8,9,7,2 74,702
2ND DOUBLE
11/8 1,816
11/9 480
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 25
A1 —
A2 —