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Happy Valley · 2020-06-03

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly B-/V1 1.39.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 2 13.0 HD
2 0 STARLIT KNIGHT B T H So · Y S Tsui 12 10.0 HD
3 0 UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 9.9 2-1/4
4 0 ORIENTAL ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan 1 4.5 2-1/2
5 0 GREEN ENVY TT J Moreira · C Fownes 3 6.3 4
6 0 INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C W Chang 6 22.0 4-1/2
7 0 HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung 11 39.0 4-1/2
8 0 SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT C Wong · K H Ting 9 11.0 5-3/4
9 0 EVEN KEEL Closed strongly H T Mo · L Ho 10 31.0 6-1/2
10 0 AFTER ME A Hamelin · P F Yiu 5 7.5 9
11 0 CLASSIC POSH Z Purton · D J Hall 4 4.8 12-1/4
12 0 DRAGON PRIDE B/XB V Borges · A T Millard 8 40.0 16-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MURRAY'S PARTNERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with STARLIT KNIGHT second and UNIVERSAL GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite ORIENTAL ELITE finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MURRAY'S PARTNERS—2. STARLIT KNIGHT+0.2L3. UNIVERSAL GO GO+2.25L4. ORIENTAL ELITE+2.5L5. GREEN ENVY+4L6. INDIGENOUS STAR+4.5L7. HAR HAR HEART+4.5L8. SMILING SUCCESS+5.75L9. EVEN KEEL+6.5L10. AFTER ME+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick CLASSIC POSH (23.5%) finished 11th — the winner MURRAY'S PARTNERS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CLASSIC POSH 23.5% 4.26 11
2 0 AFTER ME 16.7% 5.99 10
3 0 GREEN ENVY 14.7% 6.79 5
4 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 10.2% 9.76 1
5 0 SMILING SUCCESS 9.2% 10.87 8
6 0 ORIENTAL ELITE 6.1% 16.27 4
7 0 UNIVERSAL GO GO 6.1% 16.46 3
8 0 INDIGENOUS STAR 4.3% 23.01 6
9 0 STARLIT KNIGHT 3.3% 30.71 2
10 0 HAR HAR HEART 2.9% 34.87 7
11 0 DRAGON PRIDE 1.9% 51.42 12
12 0 EVEN KEEL 1.1% 95.23 9
CLASSIC POSHAFTER MEGREEN ENVYMURRAY'S PARTNERS — wonSMILING SUCCESSORIENTAL ELITEUNIVERSAL GO GOINDIGENOUS STARSTARLIT KNIGHTHAR HAR HEARTDRAGON PRIDEEVEN KEEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 132

PLACE

7 29.5

8 43.5

9 38

QUINELLA

8,9 623

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 198.5

7,9 150

8,9 182

TIERCE

8,9,7 8,575

TRIO

7,8,9 1,611

FIRST 4

2,7,8,9 2,564

QUARTET

8,9,7,2 74,702

2ND DOUBLE

11/8 1,816

11/9 480

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 25

A2 —