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Happy Valley · 2020-06-03

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly TT 1.39.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T H So · W Y So 4 53.0 SH
2 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 1 6.5 SH
3 0 FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor 11 10.0 3/4
4 0 NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 7 32.0 1
5 0 BEST ALLIANCE XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte 2 4.2 1-1/2
6 0 CHARIZARD Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris 9 21.0 2
7 0 THUNDER STOMP Led early B C Wong · Y S Tsui 8 28.0 2-1/4
7 0 CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B K Teetan · C S Shum 6 13.0 2-1/4
9 0 ULTIMATE GLORY V H W Lai · K L Man 5 39.0 2-1/4
10 0 RICH AND LUCKY XB Z Purton · L Ho 3 2.1 3-3/4
11 0 TOP SCORE B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 10 62.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-03 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DIVINE UNICORN, ridden by T H So and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with SUNSHINE WARRIOR second and FLASH FAMOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite RICH AND LUCKY finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DIVINE UNICORN—2. SUNSHINE WARRIOR+0.1L3. FLASH FAMOUS+0.75L4. NAMJONG PLUS+1L5. BEST ALLIANCE+1.5L6. CHARIZARD+2L7. THUNDER STOMP+2.25L7. CHARITY WINGS+2.25L9. ULTIMATE GLORY+2.25L10. RICH AND LUCKY+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick RICH AND LUCKY (37.0%) finished 10th — the winner DIVINE UNICORN was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RICH AND LUCKY 37.0% 2.70 10
2 0 BEST ALLIANCE 15.0% 6.69 5
3 0 FLASH FAMOUS 12.1% 8.24 3
4 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR 11.4% 8.79 2
5 0 CHARITY WINGS 9.2% 10.83 7
6 0 THUNDER STOMP 3.2% 31.71 7
7 0 NAMJONG PLUS 3.1% 32.02 4
8 0 TOP SCORE 3.0% 33.09 11
9 0 CHARIZARD 2.5% 39.68 6
10 0 ULTIMATE GLORY 2.1% 47.50 9
11 0 DIVINE UNICORN 1.4% 71.12 1
RICH AND LUCKYBEST ALLIANCEFLASH FAMOUSSUNSHINE WARRIORCHARITY WINGSTHUNDER STOMPNAMJONG PLUSTOP SCORECHARIZARDULTIMATE GLORYDIVINE UNICORN — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 535.5

PLACE

1 20

3 32

8 88.5

QUINELLA

1,8 1,883.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 106

1,8 435

3,8 703.5

TIERCE

8,1,3 28,585

TRIO

1,3,8 4,160

FIRST 4

1,2,3,8 6,103

QUARTET

8,1,3,2 176,004

3 PICK 1

A3 58

A2 —

A1 —

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

6/1 139

6/8 3,904.5