Happy Valley · 2020-06-24
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BULLISH BROTHER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with SPRINT FORWARD second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The 3.9 favourite SPRINT FORWARD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT 1.10.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.4 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | SPRINT FORWARD B/XB/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 5 | 3.9 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE B- N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 10 | 7.1 | N |
| 4 | 2 | HERO TIME B2 Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 8 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA B/H J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP H1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | WINNING FEELING B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | STARLIGHT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | MANY GAINS V M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | WONDERFUL TIMES XB1/TT1 C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 1 | 73.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | EURO LAGO B-/CP1/H1 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 34.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 26.6% | 3.76 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | BULLISH BROTHER | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SPRINT FORWARD | 15.3% | 6.55 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | HERO TIME | 10.7% | 9.35 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | WINNING FEELING | 6.4% | 15.68 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 5.4% | 18.44 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.7% | 21.45 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.6% | 27.86 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | EURO LAGO | 3.1% | 31.83 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | STARLIGHT | 2.9% | 34.01 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | WONDERFUL TIMES | 1.1% | 91.06 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | MANY GAINS | 1.0% | 100.61 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44
PLACE
3 21
4 16
9 18
QUINELLA
4,9 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 43
3,9 57.5
4,9 36
TIERCE
9,4,3 749
TRIO
3,4,9 137
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 523
QUARTET
9,4,3,2 10,086
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 483.5
3/9 3,194.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 29.5
A3 —