Happy Valley · 2020-06-24
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-24 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JAZZ STEED, ridden by C Schofield and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with ARDENODE second and FORZA ANGEL third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JAZZ STEED 0.56.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 5 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | ARDENODE TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 39.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FORZA ANGEL K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | STOCK LEGEND H-/B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 48.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 7 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NEXTMODEL H/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | WILD WEST WING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DEMONS ROCK B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SUNNY AND GOLD A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SPACE H-/B2/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | EVERBRAVE K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUT BEAUT H/V B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 10 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WILD WEST WING | 20.0% | 4.99 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | FORZA ANGEL | 16.9% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | NEXTMODEL | 12.8% | 7.79 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | WE THE SOUTH | 11.7% | 8.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | JAZZ STEED | 10.4% | 9.58 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | EVERBRAVE | 10.3% | 9.70 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | SPACE | 3.8% | 26.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 3.7% | 26.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | ARDENODE | 3.4% | 29.38 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | DEMONS ROCK | 3.2% | 31.29 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | STOCK LEGEND | 2.7% | 37.50 | 3 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUT BEAUT | 0.9% | 115.02 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 42
PLACE
2 10.1
9 15.5
10 55
11 95.5
QUINELLA
9,11 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 17.5
2,10 117.5
2,11 93.5
9,10 94.5
9,11 219
10,11 433
TIERCE
9,11,2 3,869
9,11,10 9,247
TRIO
2,9,11 558
9,10,11 3,172
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 7,215
QUARTET
9,11,2,10 63,255
9,11,10,2 75,680
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/2,9,11 29,440
2,7,11/9,10,11 499,544
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5
4TH DOUBLE
11/9 221
11/11 407