Happy Valley · 2020-06-24
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT 1.39.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 11 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENA BABY J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD Led early CP K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-24 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STAR SHINE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with MAGNIFICENT second and INSAYSHABLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.9 favourite KINGS SHIELD finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 20.6% | 4.86 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 14.5% | 6.91 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENA BABY | 14.3% | 6.98 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 10.3% | 9.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 9.1% | 11.01 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 7.7% | 13.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 6.4% | 15.64 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 4.0% | 24.87 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 3.8% | 26.26 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE CHARISMA | 3.5% | 28.31 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE | 3.3% | 30.69 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 2.6% | 38.52 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 87.5
PLACE
4 44
6 32
7 32
QUINELLA
6,7 483
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 183.5
4,7 256
6,7 141
TIERCE
6,7,4 9,476
TRIO
4,6,7 1,496
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 4,316
QUARTET
6,7,4,5 79,656
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/4,6,7 46,486
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 40.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/6 875.5
3/7 107
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,11/2,3,9/Any Combination 2,062
9,10,11/2,3,9/Any Combination 31,979