Happy Valley · 2020-06-24
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMILING CITY Closed strongly P-/SR2 1.39.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT B T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 11 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | KING DRAGON V/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR B-/TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE B1 N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 9.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 12 | 40.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE SHOW B- C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 9 | 51.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 4 | 62.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 8.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FOCUS Led early K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.8 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY H-/P- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 9.5 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SMILING CITY, ridden by V Borges and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with STARLIT KNIGHT second and KING DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite KING DRAGON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 20.9% | 4.78 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 14.2% | 7.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR | 12.8% | 7.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FOCUS | 12.1% | 8.26 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 9.0% | 11.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 7.1% | 14.10 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 6.9% | 14.51 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 4.8% | 20.80 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 4.2% | 24.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 4.1% | 24.59 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | THE SHOW | 2.7% | 36.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 1.2% | 82.77 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 126
PLACE
2 38
8 19
10 20
QUINELLA
2,10 285
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 119
2,10 134
8,10 68
TIERCE
2,10,8 5,976
TRIO
2,8,10 702
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 3,217
QUARTET
2,10,8,12 77,550
2ND DOUBLE
9/2 1,094
9/10 84
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 18.5