Happy Valley · 2020-06-24
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT 1.40.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 6.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 6.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER TT1 C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly TT N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 7 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 8.2 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 5 | 6.1 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly B/TT T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 9 | 31.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 11 | 98.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 6 | 109.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DAILY BEAUTY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by NOSE, with UNIVERSAL GO GO second and SHADOW BREAKER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.9 favourite TOTAL POWER finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 40.0% | 2.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 9.5% | 10.54 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 9.4% | 10.60 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 7.7% | 13.04 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 7.4% | 13.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 7.2% | 13.86 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 6.8% | 14.70 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 5.9% | 16.99 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.7% | 37.31 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 2.0% | 49.28 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 0.7% | 134.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 0.7% | 151.50 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 60
PLACE
2 23
7 24
11 22.5
QUINELLA
7,11 205.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 75.5
2,11 90.5
7,11 85
TIERCE
11,7,2 2,112
TRIO
2,7,11 455
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 1,201
QUARTET
11,7,2,10 24,313
3 PICK 1
A1 29.5
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/7 204
2/11 1,239.5