Sha Tin · 2020-06-27
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-27 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY HAPPY, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY SEBRING second and CHARITY GO third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite CHARITY GO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY HAPPY Wire to wire B 2.01.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 5 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CHARITY GO SR Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GENEROUS CHARITY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | STIMULATION B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | VINCY Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 4 | 61.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ABOVE B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 8 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | TASHIDELEK B/TT C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 10 | 9.9 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHARITY GO | 19.4% | 5.15 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 16.0% | 6.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | DEFINING MOMENT | 14.3% | 6.97 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY SEBRING | 11.4% | 8.80 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | VINCY | 7.8% | 12.89 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | GOD OF DRAGON | 7.4% | 13.56 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | TASHIDELEK | 6.8% | 14.65 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | ABOVE | 5.5% | 18.10 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 3.9% | 25.75 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | STIMULATION | 3.5% | 28.38 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 2.4% | 42.26 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 1.6% | 62.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 89
PLACE
1 15
2 27
3 22.5
QUINELLA
2,3 285.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 54.5
1,3 37.5
2,3 94
TIERCE
2,3,1 1,603
TRIO
1,2,3 158
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 1,103
QUARTET
2,3,1,4 26,485
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/1,2,3 20,883
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 221
3/3 41