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Sha Tin · 2020-06-27

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PARTY EVERYDAY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with SKYEY SUPREME second and LUCKY WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.39.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 8 2.4 1-1/2
2 6 SKYEY SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 14 38.0 1-1/2
3 14 LUCKY WIN WIN Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · T P Yung 1 41.0 1-3/4
4 4 RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly J Moreira · A T Millard 12 13.0 2-1/2
5 7 COPARTNER SPIRIT M F Poon · R Gibson 6 144.0 3
6 1 JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B N Callan · K L Man 2 4.9 3-3/4
7 12 HIDDEN SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 5 15.0 4
8 5 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 9 73.0 5
9 10 BREEZE OF SPRING V- T H So · L Ho 13 107.0 5-1/4
10 8 MEGATRON Led early B/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu 3 13.0 5-1/2
11 9 MOMENTUM HAPPY B Z Purton · K H Ting 10 5.9 6-1/2
12 2 CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 7 20.0 8
13 13 WINNING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 11 17.0 9
14 11 GENERAL DINO B C Wong · D E Ferraris 4 25.0 13-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARTY EVERYDAY2. SKYEY SUPREME+1.5L3. LUCKY WIN WIN+1.75L4. RIGHTEOUS MATE+2.5L5. COPARTNER SPIRIT+3L6. JADE FORTUNE+3.75L7. HIDDEN SPIRIT+4L8. BEST FOR YOU+5L9. BREEZE OF SPRING+5.25L10. MEGATRON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PARTY EVERYDAY (20.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 PARTY EVERYDAY 20.8% 4.81 1
2 4 RIGHTEOUS MATE 19.8% 5.06 4
3 9 MOMENTUM HAPPY 13.2% 7.59 11
4 12 HIDDEN SPIRIT 9.4% 10.61 7
5 1 JADE FORTUNE 7.7% 13.00 6
6 2 CHUNG WAH SPIRIT 4.7% 21.39 12
7 14 LUCKY WIN WIN 4.5% 22.36 3
8 6 SKYEY SUPREME 4.3% 23.23 2
9 5 BEST FOR YOU 3.8% 26.63 8
10 8 MEGATRON 3.6% 27.70 10
11 13 WINNING TOGETHER 2.7% 36.90 13
12 11 GENERAL DINO 2.3% 42.88 14
13 10 BREEZE OF SPRING 2.0% 50.11 9
14 7 COPARTNER SPIRIT 1.3% 79.03 5
PARTY EVERYDAY — wonRIGHTEOUS MATEMOMENTUM HAPPYHIDDEN SPIRITJADE FORTUNECHUNG WAH SPIRITLUCKY WIN WINSKYEY SUPREMEBEST FOR YOUMEGATRONWINNING TOGETHERGENERAL DINOBREEZE OF SPRINGCOPARTNER SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 24.5

PLACE

3 13

6 87

14 89

QUINELLA

3,6 445

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 143.5

3,14 154

6,14 1,087

TIERCE

3,6,14 9,605

TRIO

3,6,14 3,241

FIRST 4

3,4,6,14 4,587

QUARTET

3,6,14,4 69,292

3 PICK 1

A1 24.5

A3

A2

All pools (1 more)

4TH DOUBLE

6/3 169.5

6/6 397.5