Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-06-27

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E 1.20.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 2 3.9 1-1/2
2 0 CIRCUIT HASSLER Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 4.0 1-1/2
3 0 MY WINNER Closed strongly B M Chadwick · R Gibson 6 44.0 2-3/4
4 0 SMART CHARADE Closed strongly B/H/TT V Borges · W Y So 1 22.0 3-1/2
5 0 APEX TOP B C Schofield · A T Millard 4 24.0 3-3/4
6 0 SACRED TIMING Closed strongly B M F Poon · K H Ting 8 104.0 4-1/4
6 0 ARMOR STAR Z Purton · F C Lor 10 4.2 4-1/4
8 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall 13 53.0 4-1/2
9 0 SPEED FAY FAY B C Y Ho · T P Yung 14 5.9 4-3/4
10 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly H T Mo · Y S Tsui 11 20.0 6-1/2
11 0 NUNCHUKS TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 9 20.0 8-1/4
12 0 CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B K H Chan · K L Man 3 28.0 10-3/4
13 0 AMBITIOUS HEART B-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris 12 51.0 14
14 0 WAYFOONG STAR SR/XB/B1 H N Wong · D J Whyte 7 61.0 22-1/2
— 0 SPLENDID TIMING T H So · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HEZA BEAUTY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with CIRCUIT HASSLER second and MY WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HEZA BEAUTY—2. CIRCUIT HASSLER+1.5L3. MY WINNER+2.75L4. SMART CHARADE+3.5L5. APEX TOP+3.75L6. SACRED TIMING+4.25L6. ARMOR STAR+4.25L8. SWOT TROOPERS WIND+4.5L9. SPEED FAY FAY+4.75L10. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick HEZA BEAUTY (26.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HEZA BEAUTY 26.2% 3.81 1
2 0 ARMOR STAR 16.8% 5.97 6
3 0 CIRCUIT HASSLER 14.4% 6.97 2
4 0 SPEED FAY FAY 6.6% 15.07 9
5 0 SMART CHARADE 5.8% 17.33 4
6 0 CARE FREE PRINCE 5.0% 19.86 12
7 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 4.8% 20.75 10
8 0 APEX TOP 4.1% 24.68 5
9 0 NUNCHUKS 3.7% 26.97 11
10 0 MY WINNER 3.0% 33.84 3
11 0 AMBITIOUS HEART 2.7% 37.29 13
12 0 SWOT TROOPERS WIND 2.5% 40.15 8
13 0 WAYFOONG STAR 2.3% 43.54 14
14 0 SACRED TIMING 2.2% 45.04 6
HEZA BEAUTY — wonARMOR STARCIRCUIT HASSLERSPEED FAY FAYSMART CHARADECARE FREE PRINCESEIZE THE SPIRITAPEX TOPNUNCHUKSMY WINNERAMBITIOUS HEARTSWOT TROOPERS WINDWAYFOONG STARSACRED TIMING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 39.5

PLACE

3 16

4 15

6 89

QUINELLA

3,4 79.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 36

3,6 217

4,6 221

TIERCE

3,4,6 3,269

TRIO

3,4,6 833

FIRST 4

3,4,6,8 2,602

QUARTET

3,4,6,8 26,686

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 20

A2 —

All pools (2 more)

5TH DOUBLE

3/3 60

3/4 17.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,6,10/3,6,14/Any Combination 90,734