沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 6場
2020-06-27沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的HEZA BEAUTY勝出，贏出1-1/2。CIRCUIT HASSLER獲得亞軍；MY WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E 1.20.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CIRCUIT HASSLER 後段發力 B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SMART CHARADE 後段發力 B/H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 1 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | APEX TOP B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | ARMOR STAR Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 4.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SACRED TIMING 後段發力 B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 104.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND 後段發力 B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 13 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SPEED FAY FAY B C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 14 | 5.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 後段發力 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | NUNCHUKS TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 20.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CARE FREE PRINCE 早段領放 B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 3 | 28.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | AMBITIOUS HEART B-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 12 | 51.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | WAYFOONG STAR SR/XB/B1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 61.0 | 22-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY | 26.2% | 3.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ARMOR STAR | 16.8% | 5.97 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 14.4% | 6.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.6% | 15.07 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | SMART CHARADE | 5.8% | 17.33 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 5.0% | 19.86 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 4.8% | 20.75 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | APEX TOP | 4.1% | 24.68 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | NUNCHUKS | 3.7% | 26.97 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | MY WINNER | 3.0% | 33.84 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 2.7% | 37.29 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 2.5% | 40.15 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | WAYFOONG STAR | 2.3% | 43.54 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | SACRED TIMING | 2.2% | 45.04 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 39.5
PLACE
3 16
4 15
6 89
QUINELLA
3,4 79.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 36
3,6 217
4,6 221
TIERCE
3,4,6 3,269
TRIO
3,4,6 833
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 2,602
QUARTET
3,4,6,8 26,686
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 60
3/4 17.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,10/3,6,14/Any Combination 90,734