沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 10場
2020-06-27沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H N Wong策騎、K W Lui訓練的WATER DIVINER勝出，贏出1/2。GOOD STANDING獲得亞軍；YOUNG LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門CIRCUIT THREE跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WATER DIVINER 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.20.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 44.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | GOOD STANDING 後段發力 TT- K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 6 | 26.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | YOUNG LEGEND 後段發力 H/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | MONGOLIAN KING 後段發力 B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 3 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE 後段發力 TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 13 | 97.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY RUSH E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 11 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 12 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | BUDDIES 早段領放 C Wong · J Moore | C Wong | J Moore | 14 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | MORETHANLUCKY B M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | HAPPY FUN B-/V1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 5.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CIRCUIT THREE B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | DAN CONTROL XB C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 4 | 6.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | KING OPIE V V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 8 | 20.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 16.9% | 5.92 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | CIRCUIT THREE | 15.3% | 6.54 | 12 |
| 3 | 1 | BUDDIES | 12.0% | 8.32 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY FUN | 9.1% | 10.97 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | MONGOLIAN KING | 8.6% | 11.57 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | DAN CONTROL | 6.8% | 14.79 | 13 |
| 7 | 14 | YOUNG LEGEND | 6.3% | 15.82 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | BEAUTY RUSH | 4.7% | 21.13 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | MORETHANLUCKY | 4.4% | 22.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | KING OPIE | 4.2% | 24.01 | 14 |
| 11 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.6% | 28.00 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | CALIFORNIA WHIP | 3.5% | 28.31 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | WATER DIVINER | 2.4% | 41.70 | 1 |
| 14 | 4 | GOOD STANDING | 2.1% | 46.85 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 443
PLACE
4 76
12 109
14 45.5
QUINELLA
4,12 7,768.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 1,712.5
4,14 740.5
12,14 672
TIERCE
12,4,14 225,820
TRIO
4,12,14 25,697
FIRST 4
2,4,12,14 47,020
QUARTET
12,4,14,2 1,543,207
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
12,13,14/4,12,14 2,466,183
9TH DOUBLE
12/4 756.5
12/12 8,229
SIX UP
3/3/2/8/12/12 2,504,125
3,6/3,4/2,3/8,10/12,14/4,12 73,505
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
8/12/4 7,740
8/12/12 71,360