沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 2場
2020-06-27沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的WINSTON'S LAD勝出，贏出3/4。BRIGHT KID獲得亞軍；SUMSTREETSUMWHERE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINSTON'S LAD B 1.08.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BRIGHT KID B/XB Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H-/V-/B2 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | FARM BUMPER J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 14 | 7.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | GLENEALY GENERALS B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 7.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GREAT SON V/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | DIAMOND RHYME CP1 K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 59.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | GO GOAL TOBY H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 213.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 103.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | WINNING GENGHIS H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 263.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | SPLENDID KING B1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 94.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 2 | 8.4 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BRIGHT KID | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | DIAMOND RHYME | 13.1% | 7.66 | 8 |
| 3 | 14 | GREAT SON | 11.9% | 8.38 | 6 |
| 4 | 13 | FARM BUMPER | 11.1% | 9.04 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | WINSTON'S LAD | 8.0% | 12.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE | 7.4% | 13.60 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 6.8% | 14.67 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | SPLENDID KING | 4.9% | 20.27 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 4.8% | 21.04 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | WINNING GENGHIS | 3.5% | 28.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL | 3.4% | 29.59 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 2.3% | 43.15 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.8% | 56.50 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | GO GOAL TOBY | 1.0% | 96.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 44
PLACE
2 16.5
9 18.5
11 21
QUINELLA
2,9 133
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 49.5
2,11 67
9,11 61.5
TIERCE
9,2,11 1,536
TRIO
2,9,11 241
FIRST 4
2,9,11,13 600
QUARTET
9,2,11,13 12,343
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 44.5
2/9 522.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 20
A3 —
A1 —