沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 5場
2020-06-27沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的PARTY EVERYDAY勝出，贏出1-1/2。SKYEY SUPREME獲得亞軍；LUCKY WIN WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT 1.39.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SKYEY SUPREME 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 38.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | LUCKY WIN WIN 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 41.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS MATE 後段發力 J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | COPARTNER SPIRIT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 6 | 144.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | JADE FORTUNE 後段發力 B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 2 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HIDDEN SPIRIT 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 73.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING V- T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 13 | 107.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MEGATRON 早段領放 B/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 3 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | MOMENTUM HAPPY B Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 5.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | WINNING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | GENERAL DINO B C Wong · D E Ferraris | C Wong | D E Ferraris | 4 | 25.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 20.8% | 4.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 19.8% | 5.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 13.2% | 7.59 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 9.4% | 10.61 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | JADE FORTUNE | 7.7% | 13.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 4.7% | 21.39 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | LUCKY WIN WIN | 4.5% | 22.36 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SKYEY SUPREME | 4.3% | 23.23 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.8% | 26.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | MEGATRON | 3.6% | 27.70 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING TOGETHER | 2.7% | 36.90 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | GENERAL DINO | 2.3% | 42.88 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 2.0% | 50.11 | 9 |
| 14 | 7 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 1.3% | 79.03 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 24.5
PLACE
3 13
6 87
14 89
QUINELLA
3,6 445
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 143.5
3,14 154
6,14 1,087
TIERCE
3,6,14 9,605
TRIO
3,6,14 3,241
FIRST 4
3,4,6,14 4,587
QUARTET
3,6,14,4 69,292
3 PICK 1
A1 24.5
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
6/3 169.5
6/6 397.5