沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 8場
2020-06-27沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由V Borges策騎、J Moore訓練的TOUCH OF LUCK勝出，贏出4-1/4。SINCERE BOY獲得亞軍；RACING LUCK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOUCH OF LUCK 後段發力 CP 1.38.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 2 | 4.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SINCERE BOY 後段發力 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 4 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | RACING LUCK 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | PING HAI TREASURE P-/E1 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 8.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | NAMJONG PLUS 後段發力 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT 早段領放 H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.5 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE 後段發力 P-/H T H So · K H Ting | T H So | K H Ting | 11 | 180.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 4.3 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ENFOLDING 後段發力 V A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 13 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | KYRUS UNICORN SR Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 9.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES CP-/XB/P1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | MISSION TYCOON B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 13 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CLEAR CHOICE | 16.8% | 5.95 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | PING HAI TREASURE | 14.1% | 7.09 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | ENFOLDING | 11.6% | 8.61 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | NAMJONG PLUS | 8.4% | 11.91 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | RACING LUCK | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | KYRUS UNICORN | 5.8% | 17.11 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | MISSION TYCOON | 5.5% | 18.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 3.2% | 31.54 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SINCERE BOY | 1.4% | 71.09 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 0.9% | 110.41 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 43.5
PLACE
6 33
8 16
10 66
QUINELLA
8,10 598
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 78.5
6,10 461
8,10 141
TIERCE
8,10,6 10,004
TRIO
6,8,10 1,783
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 3,348
QUARTET
8,10,6,3 68,451
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 43.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 252.5
2/10 487.5