Sha Tin · 2020-06-27
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOUCH OF LUCK Closed strongly CP 1.38.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 2 | 4.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SINCERE BOY Closed strongly H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 4 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RACING LUCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PING HAI TREASURE P-/E1 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 8.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT Led early H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.5 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly P-/H T H So · K H Ting | T H So | K H Ting | 11 | 180.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 4.3 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 13 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN SR Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 9.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES CP-/XB/P1 H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TOUCH OF LUCK, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Moore, won by 4-1/4, with SINCERE BOY second and RACING LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE | 16.8% | 5.95 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | PING HAI TREASURE | 14.1% | 7.09 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 11.6% | 8.61 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 8.4% | 11.91 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | RACING LUCK | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 5.8% | 17.11 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON | 5.5% | 18.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 3.2% | 31.54 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SINCERE BOY | 1.4% | 71.09 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 0.9% | 110.41 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 43.5
PLACE
6 33
8 16
10 66
QUINELLA
8,10 598
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 78.5
6,10 461
8,10 141
TIERCE
8,10,6 10,004
TRIO
6,8,10 1,783
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 3,348
QUARTET
8,10,6,3 68,451
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 43.5
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 252.5
2/10 487.5