Sha Tin · 2020-06-27
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B 1.40.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 13 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEY MARSHAL Led early B/TT H T Mo · D E Ferraris | H T Mo | D E Ferraris | 1 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DR LUCKY STAR B/XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER Closed strongly CP-/SR/B2 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 8.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 8.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAY RUN Closed strongly XB1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 14 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM P2/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly B-/H/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 107.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KEEP WINNING TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 9 | 8.2 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | KEEP GOING B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 63.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY SR2 C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 7 | 25.0 | 30-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-27 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DOUBLE TAKE, ridden by N Callan and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with SHINEALOT second and GREAT SMART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite TURF BRILLIANT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 17.9% | 5.59 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL | 16.6% | 6.02 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 11.7% | 8.53 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 9.3% | 10.79 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER | 9.0% | 11.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | MONEY MARSHAL | 6.9% | 14.53 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 6.2% | 16.00 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | HAY RUN | 5.9% | 16.86 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 4.8% | 21.02 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 4.5% | 22.38 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 2.2% | 46.06 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | DR LUCKY STAR | 2.0% | 51.13 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | KEEP GOING | 1.9% | 52.69 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.2% | 81.00 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 88.5
PLACE
2 27.5
5 21
10 38.5
QUINELLA
2,5 282
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 95
2,10 184.5
5,10 154.5
TIERCE
2,5,10 8,067
TRIO
2,5,10 1,123
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 1,368
QUARTET
2,5,10,7 39,088
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 18.5