沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 9場
2020-06-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALCARI勝出，贏出1。JOYFUL HEART獲得亞軍；GREAT TREASURE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門CRAIG'S STAR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ALCARI 後段發力 B 1.20.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | JOYFUL HEART 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | CHAIRMAN LO 後段發力 E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | THE HULK V- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | CRAIG'S STAR B V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 5 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 13 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT 後段發力 CP/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 8 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | KASI FARASI H-/TT- Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 8.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR V K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 53.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | COBY OPPA T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 10 | 212.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 7 | FLYING ON THE TURF 早段領放 B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 66.0 | 23 |
| — | 0 | XANTHUS M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | JOYFUL HEART | 16.7% | 6.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 11.0% | 9.11 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 10.7% | 9.36 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | CHAIRMAN LO | 9.1% | 11.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | CRAIG'S STAR | 8.6% | 11.67 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 8.1% | 12.32 | 14 |
| 7 | 4 | HELLO BEAUTY | 7.7% | 13.01 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | WIN WIN | 6.2% | 16.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | THE HULK | 5.0% | 19.90 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 4.4% | 22.56 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.3% | 23.49 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.0% | 25.10 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | ALCARI | 2.7% | 37.37 | 1 |
| 14 | 10 | COBY OPPA | 1.6% | 62.19 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 275.5
PLACE
12 78.5
13 42.5
14 15.5
QUINELLA
12,14 929.5
QUINELLA PLACE
12,13 564.5
12,14 282.5
13,14 128
TIERCE
12,14,13 17,477
TRIO
12,13,14 3,285
FIRST 4
11,12,13,14 2,505
QUARTET
12,14,13,11 69,290
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
8/12 1,646.5
8/14 65