沙田 · 2020-06-27
第 3場
2020-06-27沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的ANGEL OF MY EYES勝出，贏出1/2。HERO STAR獲得亞軍；MIGHTY VALOR獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門MIGHTY VALOR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ANGEL OF MY EYES TT 1.08.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HERO STAR N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 9 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | REWARDING TOGETHER B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT LEGACY SR/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 10 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER KIN TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | DAZZLING FEELING TT1 V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 1 | 130.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SOLAR POWER M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 78.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY TIME TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | KUNG FU FIGHTER B1 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 74.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | DIAMOND STAR E1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 98.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | ROSSE SCARPE XB H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 229.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | ALLOY KING H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 13 | 306.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | GLENEALY PALS H/XB/B1/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 188.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 22.4% | 4.45 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | GALLANT LEGACY | 16.1% | 6.20 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR | 14.4% | 6.95 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 13.6% | 7.38 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY TIME | 7.0% | 14.35 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | HERO STAR | 7.0% | 14.37 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER KIN | 6.7% | 15.00 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | DAZZLING FEELING | 4.1% | 24.17 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | SOLAR POWER | 2.5% | 39.39 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | DIAMOND STAR | 2.3% | 43.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | ALLOY KING | 1.7% | 58.53 | 13 |
| 12 | 2 | KUNG FU FIGHTER | 1.0% | 102.83 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | GLENEALY PALS | 0.7% | 146.13 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.6% | 180.02 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 85
PLACE
3 10.1
5 13.5
7 21
12 20.5
QUINELLA
7,12 317
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 14.5
3,7 16.5
3,12 15
5,7 35
5,12 33.5
7,12 86.5
TIERCE
7,12,3 945
7,12,5 1,781
TRIO
3,7,12 86
5,7,12 253
FIRST 4
3,5,7,12 248
QUARTET
7,12,3,5 4,605
7,12,5,3 4,636
2ND DOUBLE
9/7 718
9/12 74
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 33