Sha Tin · 2020-07-12
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-3/4, with SO WE JOY second and GOLDEN MISSION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite ARMOR STAR finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE Closed strongly B 1.21.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · J Moore | A Hamelin | J Moore | 6 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | GOLDEN MISSION Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 7 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | ARMOR STAR Led early B1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | DESTIN Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | KA FORTUNE Closed strongly V/XB M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P-/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 82.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | UNIVERSAL CROWN XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 18.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 14 | 352.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GENERAL DINO B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 13 | 263.0 | 17 |
| — | 7 | APOLAR WARRIOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 32.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ARMOR STAR | 26.3% | 3.80 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | SO WE JOY | 22.4% | 4.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 15.0% | 6.65 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | DREAM WARRIORS | 6.0% | 16.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 5.9% | 16.86 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | DESTIN | 5.2% | 19.13 | 7 |
| 7 | 14 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.1% | 19.52 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 4.5% | 22.13 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 3.9% | 25.54 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.8% | 54.71 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | KA FORTUNE | 1.8% | 55.86 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | GENERAL DINO | 1.2% | 86.57 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 0.7% | 143.12 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 38
PLACE
1 19.5
8 15.5
14 29
QUINELLA
1,8 104
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 43.5
1,14 91.5
8,14 83
TIERCE
8,1,14 1,458
TRIO
1,8,14 342
FIRST 4
1,8,12,14 510
QUARTET
8,1,14,12 10,034
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 20
A1 —
All pools (3 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 15.5
3/8 68.5
TRIPLE TRIO
6,7,10/1,3,14/1,8,14 10,507,328
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,10/1,3,14/Any Combination 19,472