Sha Tin · 2020-07-12
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/XB 1.20.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE Led early TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH E K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TRANSCENDENT Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly P-/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 4 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 2.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TORNADO TWIST H/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 2 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FANTASY B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GOOD STANDING K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-07-12 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER OASIS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with MONGOLIAN KING second and BEAUTY APPLAUSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite AMAZING CHOCOLATE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 27.8% | 3.60 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING | 13.0% | 7.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 11.6% | 8.61 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASY | 10.7% | 9.37 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 10.2% | 9.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.0% | 14.26 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WATER DIVINER | 5.3% | 18.72 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | TORNADO TWIST | 4.6% | 21.75 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | TRANSCENDENT | 3.6% | 27.55 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL | 2.2% | 45.26 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 151
PLACE
1 41
2 15
6 18
QUINELLA
1,2 339.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 94.5
1,6 119
2,6 48.5
TIERCE
1,2,6 4,160
TRIO
1,2,6 489
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 1,534
QUARTET
1,2,6,8 43,320
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 36.5
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 728.5
5/2 35.5