Happy Valley · 2020-07-15
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-15 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MONEY WINNER, ridden by C Wong and trained by Y S Tsui, won by HD, with BUNDLE OF ENERGY second and BABY STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite BUNDLE OF ENERGY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MONEY WINNER Closed strongly B- 1.49.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 22.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 3.7 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | BABY STORM Led early H/TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HAY RUN Closed strongly XB V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 11 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MONEY MARSHAL Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · D E Ferraris | H T Mo | D E Ferraris | 8 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS Closed strongly H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 6 | 120.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | BRING IT ON CP1/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | KEEP WINNING TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | GREAT SMART CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | TURF BRILLIANT B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 5.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | POLYMER LUCK B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | JOY N FUN LEGEND H-/B2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 47.0 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 21.4% | 4.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | TURF BRILLIANT | 16.8% | 5.97 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | GREAT SMART | 14.9% | 6.70 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | BABY STORM | 12.1% | 8.27 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | MONEY MARSHAL | 7.5% | 13.37 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | MONEY WINNER | 6.4% | 15.53 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | HAY RUN | 6.4% | 15.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | KEEP WINNING | 5.1% | 19.59 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | BRING IT ON | 3.7% | 26.67 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | POLYMER LUCK | 3.7% | 27.20 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.1% | 92.87 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 1.0% | 101.64 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 226.5
PLACE
2 15
4 34
12 53.5
QUINELLA
2,12 426
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 77
2,12 156
4,12 339
TIERCE
12,2,4 10,971
TRIO
2,4,12 1,439
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 3,152
QUARTET
12,2,4,3 117,144
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29.5
A1 —