Happy Valley · 2020-07-15
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KINDA COOL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with JAZZ STEED second and HERCULES third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KINDA COOL 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | JAZZ STEED C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 11 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | HERCULES XB-/CP1 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 8 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HOME MADE B/XB/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | HERO TIME B B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 3 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | STAY CHILL M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 165.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | STRONG PROMISE XB/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 77.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | RED ZOFFANY SR/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 106.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 2 | CONFUCIUS DAY B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 12 | 36.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KINDA COOL | 34.1% | 2.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | JAZZ STEED | 15.6% | 6.42 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 13.3% | 7.52 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | HOME MADE | 12.9% | 7.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | HERO TIME | 7.0% | 14.28 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 6.1% | 16.49 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK | 4.9% | 20.24 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | HERCULES | 3.5% | 28.29 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | STAY CHILL | 1.0% | 95.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | RED ZOFFANY | 0.9% | 117.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | STRONG PROMISE | 0.7% | 137.51 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 19
PLACE
6 13
7 79
8 14
QUINELLA
6,8 50
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 142
6,8 23
7,8 296
TIERCE
6,8,7 1,486
TRIO
6,7,8 575
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 707
QUARTET
6,8,7,5 8,846
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,12/6,7,8 15,762
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/6 352.5
12/8 96.5