Happy Valley · 2020-07-15
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Closed strongly 1.38.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT Led early H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly V1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 3 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN V/XB V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 4 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINING GEM Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE SR/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 8 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 12 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HIGH REV B-/XB/BO1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HELENA BABY M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 11 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-15 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOLAR WAI WAI, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with MAGNIFICENT second and GREEN LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite STAR SHINE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 16.0% | 6.24 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 13.0% | 7.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 12.5% | 8.02 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 9.7% | 10.36 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 9.4% | 10.68 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 9.0% | 11.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 9.0% | 11.11 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH REV | 7.0% | 14.28 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 5.1% | 19.52 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE | 3.4% | 29.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 3.2% | 31.63 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | HELENA BABY | 2.8% | 36.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 96
PLACE
5 30
6 23.5
11 34
QUINELLA
6,11 653.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 150
5,11 212.5
6,11 199.5
TIERCE
11,6,5 11,381
TRIO
5,6,11 2,249
FIRST 4
5,6,8,11 2,072
QUARTET
11,6,5,8 58,494
3 PICK 1
A3 16.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/6 52
1/11 1,081.5