Happy Valley · 2020-07-15
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. POWER KING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SELL MY SOLE second and HONEST WAY third. The 2.3 favourite SELL MY SOLE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | POWER KING H/TT 1.09.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.4 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SELL MY SOLE E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 2.3 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HONEST WAY CP Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 8 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DIAMOND RHYME CP C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 9 | 74.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 46.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | EVERBRAVE M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | THE SHOW B2 K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | VERY RICH MAN H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER KIN TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY GUY B2/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 48.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SELL MY SOLE | 26.2% | 3.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | POWER KING | 20.2% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.2% | 8.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER KIN | 10.0% | 10.03 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | HONEST WAY | 9.0% | 11.17 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | DIAMOND RHYME | 5.7% | 17.57 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY GUY | 4.6% | 21.81 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | EVERBRAVE | 4.3% | 23.12 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING | 2.9% | 35.08 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND | 2.6% | 37.82 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | THE SHOW | 2.3% | 43.03 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | VERY RICH MAN | 1.0% | 98.77 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 44
PLACE
1 19.5
3 17
4 13
QUINELLA
3,4 66.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 51.5
1,4 39.5
3,4 31
TIERCE
3,4,1 694
TRIO
1,3,4 127
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 1,518
QUARTET
3,4,1,6 20,863
2ND DOUBLE
4/3 260.5
4/4 20
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —