Happy Valley · 2020-07-15
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP1 1.39.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 9.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER V/XB Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 7 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 12 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MY FAMILY Closed strongly K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN B V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.9 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE DRIVE B1/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 9 | 70.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 1 | 37.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-07-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY MISSILE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with UNIVERSAL GO GO second and INCANTO PREPARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite UNIVERSAL GO GO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER | 19.5% | 5.12 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 13.7% | 7.31 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 13.3% | 7.51 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 12.1% | 8.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 7.4% | 13.60 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 5.7% | 17.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 5.6% | 17.78 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 4.9% | 20.55 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MY FAMILY | 3.0% | 33.77 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.5% | 39.34 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 1.3% | 75.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 94
PLACE
5 15.5
8 19
12 27
QUINELLA
5,12 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 39.5
5,12 61
8,12 92
TIERCE
12,5,8 1,839
TRIO
5,8,12 223
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 387
QUARTET
12,5,8,7 11,799
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22.5
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/5 37
3/12 542.5