Happy Valley · 2020-11-11
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V 0.57.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 9 | 7.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | READY CONQUEROR B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 43.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 11 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EVERBRAVE B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 4 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREEN ENVY V/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 6 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | THE ABRAXAS B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 12 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JIMSON THE DRAGON V-/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPREME PATROL B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 2 | 77.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | GLORIOUS BUDDY B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 81.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | COOL ACE B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 80.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIMES XB/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 3 | 82.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-11 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by NOSE, with READY CONQUEROR second and SPEEDY OPTIMIST third. The 2.3 favourite SPEEDY OPTIMIST finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST | 27.0% | 3.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GREEN ENVY | 21.5% | 4.64 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | THE ABRAXAS | 13.1% | 7.61 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 7.6% | 13.21 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | EVERBRAVE | 6.0% | 16.67 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | READY CONQUEROR | 4.2% | 23.59 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | COOL ACE | 2.7% | 37.34 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPREME PATROL | 2.4% | 42.23 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 2.2% | 45.27 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIMES | 1.2% | 84.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.0% | 95.31 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 72.5
PLACE
3 13
10 70.5
11 23
QUINELLA
10,11 1,580
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 166
3,11 41.5
10,11 337
FORECAST
11,10 2,514
TIERCE
11,10,3 11,690
TRIO
3,10,11 1,106
FIRST 4
2,3,10,11 2,360
QUARTET
11,10,3,2 83,822
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —