Happy Valley · 2020-11-11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAY RUN Closed strongly XB 2.17.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 17.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 134.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 9 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO Closed strongly B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 2 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly B1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 11 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER P-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | ART OF RAW Led early H/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 12 | 7.5 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN CP N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND CP2/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 78.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 0 | WICKER B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 10 | 7.4 | 26 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-11 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. HAY RUN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with SOCKET ELITE second and YOUNG GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SKY GEM finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM | 52.8% | 1.90 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 9.2% | 10.85 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 6.8% | 14.62 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | WICKER | 6.4% | 15.51 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 5.5% | 18.21 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | HAY RUN | 5.3% | 18.73 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 4.4% | 22.67 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 2.7% | 37.22 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 2.5% | 40.51 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.7% | 59.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 1.6% | 64.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE | 1.1% | 90.08 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 171.5
PLACE
4 46
7 265
12 27
QUINELLA
4,7 9,505.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 2,553
4,12 181
7,12 1,789.5
FORECAST
4,7 13,383
TIERCE
4,7,12 101,341
TRIO
4,7,12 33,307
FIRST 4
4,7,9,12 78,405
QUARTET
4,7,12,9 3,489,000
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/4 1,001.5
11/7 1,411
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A1 —
A2 —