Happy Valley · 2020-11-11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE B2 1.10.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL H-/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE DESIRE CP/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT H/B2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B- C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 12 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HIN YUEN BIS TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 3.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FUN TIMES B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE TT1 V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 10 | 81.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE SUBMARINE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 129.0 | 26-1/2 |
| — | 0 | THE ELITES TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 132.0 | — |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ORIENTAL ELITE, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with GOODLUCK GOODLUCK second and MELBOURNE HALL third. The 3.8 favourite HIN YUEN BIS finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT | 24.5% | 4.08 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 21.0% | 4.76 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE DESIRE | 16.2% | 6.16 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 9.0% | 11.16 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | HIN YUEN BIS | 6.0% | 16.70 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 5.9% | 16.94 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.6% | 18.02 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | THE SUBMARINE | 4.1% | 24.31 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 3.6% | 27.64 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FUN TIMES | 2.7% | 36.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.4% | 71.30 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 141
PLACE
1 36
3 24.5
5 15
QUINELLA
1,3 325.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 116
1,5 89
3,5 54.5
FORECAST
1,3 934
TIERCE
1,3,5 3,868
TRIO
1,3,5 556
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 810
QUARTET
1,3,5,4 24,894
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 40
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 1,099
7/3 117.5