Happy Valley · 2020-11-11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly 1.40.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.4 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 6.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · F C Lor | T Piccone | F C Lor | 4 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING CITY SR J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 12 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 2 | 125.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 4.6 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY MY BROTHER B1 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 67.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY FORTUNE Led early H/P/XB/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 37.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-11 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NAMJONG PLUS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by HD, with REEL BIZZY second and WORLD FAMOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite SMILING CITY finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 18.5% | 5.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 15.0% | 6.65 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 14.8% | 6.75 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 11.6% | 8.63 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 10.2% | 9.76 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 8.3% | 12.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 6.7% | 14.83 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 6.5% | 15.37 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.4% | 22.93 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY MY BROTHER | 1.6% | 61.96 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 1.5% | 65.54 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 0.7% | 142.07 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 64.5
PLACE
2 21
3 35
6 20.5
QUINELLA
2,6 164
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 112
2,6 54
3,6 91
FORECAST
6,2 367
TIERCE
6,2,3 2,819
TRIO
2,3,6 502
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 787
QUARTET
6,2,3,8 15,125
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/2,3,6 22,993
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 143
1/6 702
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,9/1,3,5/2,3,6 817,578
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,9/1,3,5/Any Combination 3,629