Happy Valley · 2020-11-11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.40.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 7.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LADY FIRST Led early CP/H/XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MALDIVES XB N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 2 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COMPASSION STAR T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 1 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AFTER ME Closed strongly H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 10 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FRESH POWER H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 54.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VOLPINO H-/XB-/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 4 | 55.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BEST FOR YOU, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with ZHAN JIANG ROCKS second and LADY FIRST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite LADY FIRST finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 26.9% | 3.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 15.5% | 6.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | MALDIVES | 13.0% | 7.70 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR | 10.1% | 9.91 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 6.8% | 14.68 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | VOLPINO | 4.8% | 20.70 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | COMPASSION STAR | 4.0% | 24.84 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | AFTER ME | 1.4% | 70.29 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FRESH POWER | 0.9% | 116.29 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 106
PLACE
3 22.5
7 26
9 13.5
QUINELLA
3,7 260
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 88
3,9 39.5
7,9 51.5
FORECAST
7,3 592
TIERCE
7,3,9 2,371
TRIO
3,7,9 270
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 396
QUARTET
7,3,9,8 11,284
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/3,7,9 7,900
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 44.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 88.5
9/7 411