Happy Valley · 2020-12-09
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE Closed strongly H 1.40.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 6.2 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 3.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | BABY STORM P-/H/PC1/TT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 12 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B-/TT- A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS Closed strongly H2 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO B M Barzalona · C H Yip | M Barzalona | C H Yip | 4 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 10 | 107.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 6 | 9.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SHOW MISSION B-/CP1 H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 7 | 74.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING SPIRIT B-/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 8 | 40.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-09 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RUN THE TABLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with NITRO EXPRESS second and BABY STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite NITRO EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BABY STORM | 24.7% | 4.05 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 16.0% | 6.24 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 10.6% | 9.41 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 10.1% | 9.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 8.9% | 11.18 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 6.7% | 14.97 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 5.5% | 18.30 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 4.0% | 24.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO | 4.0% | 24.92 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING SPIRIT | 3.3% | 30.62 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 3.2% | 31.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SHOW MISSION | 3.0% | 33.76 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 62.5
PLACE
2 16
6 25.5
8 15.5
QUINELLA
2,8 117
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 74.5
2,8 46
6,8 53
FORECAST
2,8 241
TIERCE
2,8,6 1,321
TRIO
2,6,8 241
FIRST 4
2,6,8,10 501
QUARTET
2,8,6,10 11,031
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A2 —
A1 —