Happy Valley · 2020-12-09
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-09 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GLORIOUS ARTIST, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with PACKING WALTHAM second and SAVVY NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite MAXIMUS finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly 1.48.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 69.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | PACKING WALTHAM Closed strongly CP1/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.5 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly XB R Moore · D J Whyte | R Moore | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAGNIFICENT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BEAR AGAIN Led early SR M Barzalona · D E Ferraris | M Barzalona | D E Ferraris | 7 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | MAXIMUS SR A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 5 | 4.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly B1/TT P-C Boudot · K W Lui | P-C Boudot | K W Lui | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GREEN LUCK V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GREEN LUCK | 15.0% | 6.68 | 12 |
| 2 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 12.5% | 8.02 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | SAVVY NINE | 11.8% | 8.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | MAXIMUS | 10.0% | 10.00 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | PACKING WALTHAM | 9.9% | 10.12 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | STAR SHINE | 9.1% | 11.02 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 8.3% | 12.04 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | FLYING QUEST | 6.0% | 16.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | INSAYSHABLE | 5.9% | 16.88 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | MAGNIFICENT | 4.2% | 24.06 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 4.0% | 24.88 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAR AGAIN | 3.4% | 29.15 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 691
PLACE
2 18.5
8 148
10 28.5
QUINELLA
8,10 4,077.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 543
2,10 94
8,10 987
FORECAST
8,10 6,851
TIERCE
8,10,2 49,964
TRIO
2,8,10 4,584
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 10,383
QUARTET
8,10,2,9 400,999
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 17
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/2,8,10 128,846
2,6,12/2,8,10 32,548
8TH DOUBLE
12/8 1,340
12/10 31
SIX UP
1,11/5,11/5,9,10/8,12/2,12/8,10 30,936
TREBLE
8/12/8 12,878
8/12/10 261