Happy Valley · 2020-12-09
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT R Moore · C S Shum | R Moore | C S Shum | 1 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WIND N GRASS TT T Marquand · J Size | T Marquand | J Size | 12 | 40.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING BONUS Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 10 | 62.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CUE THE MUSIC B/TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 9 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT W Buick · F C Lor | W Buick | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS CP1 N Callan · A T Millard | N Callan | A T Millard | 8 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT P-C Boudot · D J Whyte | P-C Boudot | D J Whyte | 11 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MEHBOOB B/XB M Barzalona · P O'Sullivan | M Barzalona | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 36.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | — | 2.1 | 3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GRATEFUL HEART, ridden by R Moore and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with WIND N GRASS second and FLYING BONUS third. The 2.1 favourite HARMONY N BLESSED did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 23.1% | 4.34 | — |
| 2 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART | 15.2% | 6.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 12.9% | 7.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 12.0% | 8.30 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | CUE THE MUSIC | 7.3% | 13.63 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 5.6% | 17.75 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | STORM WARNINGS | 5.5% | 18.31 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK | 4.7% | 21.34 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND | 3.8% | 26.26 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | MEHBOOB | 3.4% | 29.74 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 3.4% | 29.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD | 3.1% | 31.84 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 21
PLACE
2 15.5
4 38
6 12
12 13
QUINELLA
2,12 52
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 80
2,6 22
2,12 27
4,6 167.5
4,12 58.5
6,12 17.5
FORECAST
12,2 77
TIERCE
12,2,4 719
12,2,6 186
TRIO
2,4,12 267
2,6,12 56
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 908
QUARTET
12,2,4,6 4,885
12,2,6,4 3,438
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14
7TH DOUBLE
8/2 37
8/12 126
5 [Z Purton] —