Happy Valley · 2020-12-09
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 19.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB P-C Boudot · D J Hall | P-C Boudot | D J Hall | 6 | 8.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly TT W Buick · C S Shum | W Buick | C S Shum | 9 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NUNCHUKS TT T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 2 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B2 M Barzalona · Y S Tsui | M Barzalona | Y S Tsui | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 5 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly P-/H/B1/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 8 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | ANONYMA C Y Ho · D E Ferraris | C Y Ho | D E Ferraris | 11 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PLAY WISE B R Moore · C H Yip | R Moore | C H Yip | 7 | 6.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 10 | 16.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by A Badel and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with FEARLESS FIRE second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite REGENCY MASTER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 17.0% | 5.88 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 15.3% | 6.52 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 15.0% | 6.66 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 11.5% | 8.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MALDIVES | 9.0% | 11.10 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 6.7% | 14.90 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.8% | 17.18 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.5% | 18.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 4.6% | 21.89 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | ANONYMA | 4.3% | 23.28 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 3.4% | 29.35 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 1.8% | 55.64 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 192
PLACE
5 29
6 27
11 55
QUINELLA
5,11 769
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 141.5
5,11 237
6,11 236
FORECAST
11,5 1,956
TIERCE
11,5,6 14,087
TRIO
5,6,11 1,905
FIRST 4
1,5,6,11 3,023
QUARTET
11,5,6,1 135,874
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/5,6,11 453,821
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 17
4TH DOUBLE
11/5 263
11/11 3,072