Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GREEN ENVY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 4-3/4, with DESTIN second and BLAZING PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite DESTIN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | DESTIN Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 5.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly B K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 10 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | VIVA COUNCIL Led early V- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 1 | 34.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly H/TT C Soumillon · K W Lui | C Soumillon | K W Lui | 11 | 5.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY WINNER CP-/P1 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 123.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | FUN TIMES B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly CP-/H-/B2 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 6.4 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 14 | 8.2 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B-/V1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | WELL DRAGON B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 33.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 8 | 42.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | RED ZOFFANY B1/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 13 | 141.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GREEN ENVY | 37.3% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SPICY GRILL | 10.5% | 9.52 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | DESTIN | 9.3% | 10.75 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | CITY LEGEND | 8.4% | 11.93 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | FUN TIMES | 8.3% | 12.04 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM | 4.3% | 23.05 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | WELL DRAGON | 4.1% | 24.59 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | VIVA COUNCIL | 3.8% | 25.98 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | NUREMBERG | 3.8% | 25.99 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 3.0% | 33.39 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 2.9% | 34.60 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 1.7% | 58.14 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | HAPPY WINNER | 1.3% | 79.46 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | RED ZOFFANY | 1.2% | 82.12 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 55
PLACE
2 16.5
10 19
13 68.5
QUINELLA
2,10 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 48
2,13 153
10,13 210
FORECAST
10,2 321
TIERCE
10,2,13 4,979
TRIO
2,10,13 851
FIRST 4
2,3,10,13 3,861
QUARTET
10,2,13,3 64,962
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/2 137
8/10 946
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —