Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GLORIOUS ARTIST, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with MAGNIFICENT second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite ELUSIVE STATE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly 1.38.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT Led early H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 89.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 10 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ELUSIVE STATE Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 6 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | RED DESERT Closed strongly T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 5 | 5.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | BEAUTY LEGACY TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | STAR PERFORMANCE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly C Soumillon · Y S Tsui | C Soumillon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | BERLIN TANGO TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 69.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GREEN LUCK V-/PC1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 29.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | HOLY HEART PC/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 31 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HOLY HEART | 28.8% | 3.47 | 13 |
| 2 | 9 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.0% | 9.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | GREEN LUCK | 8.9% | 11.27 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | ELUSIVE STATE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | INSAYSHABLE | 8.3% | 12.00 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | ELITE PATCH | 7.6% | 13.17 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 5.1% | 19.56 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 4.5% | 22.16 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | RED DESERT | 4.1% | 24.53 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 3.4% | 29.00 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT | 1.5% | 67.56 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | BERLIN TANGO | 0.7% | 140.76 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 104
PLACE
5 27.5
8 23.5
12 241.5
QUINELLA
5,12 5,515
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 118
5,12 1,338.5
8,12 1,313
FORECAST
5,12 4,148
TIERCE
5,12,8 46,155
TRIO
5,8,12 12,435
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 5,358
QUARTET
5,12,8,1 211,989
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 39
8TH DOUBLE
10/5 5,120.5
10/12 4,636