Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TANGMERE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 13 | 55.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 1 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PING HAI TREASURE Closed strongly P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly XB/V2/TT C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PURE LEGEND V A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 4.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT H W Lai · D J Hall | H W Lai | D J Hall | 2 | 104.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | THE HULK PC/H1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 9 | 7.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION B M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 4 | 72.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DEAL MAKER H M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | TOUCH OF LUCK Led early CP-/V1 V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 56.0 | 56-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CLEAR CHOICE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-1/4, with TURIN REDSTAR second and TANGMERE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite PING HAI TREASURE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PING HAI TREASURE | 30.3% | 3.30 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HULK | 11.6% | 8.61 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | VINCY | 11.5% | 8.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 9.4% | 10.69 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 5.1% | 19.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DEAL MAKER | 4.8% | 20.75 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | PURE LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.41 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 3.8% | 25.99 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | TANGMERE | 3.1% | 31.94 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.7% | 37.50 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 2.5% | 40.15 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 2.3% | 42.76 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 78
PLACE
3 22.5
7 63.5
11 172.5
QUINELLA
3,7 798
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 220.5
3,11 891
7,11 1,464
FORECAST
3,7 2,004
TIERCE
3,7,11 57,682
TRIO
3,7,11 16,936
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 44,219
QUARTET
3,7,11,4 1,012,132
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,14/3,7,11 1,703,455
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 22.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 240
9/7 63.5