沙田 · 2020-12-26
第 5場
2020-12-26沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的CLEAR CHOICE勝出，贏出2-1/4。TURIN REDSTAR獲得亞軍；TANGMERE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門PING HAI TREASURE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CLEAR CHOICE 後段發力 B/TT 1.48.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR 後段發力 TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | TANGMERE 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 13 | 55.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 1 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE 後段發力 P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | GOD OF DRAGON 後段發力 H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | VINCY 後段發力 XB/V2/TT C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PURE LEGEND V A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 4.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT H W Lai · D J Hall | H W Lai | D J Hall | 2 | 104.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | THE HULK PC/H1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 9 | 7.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | HANG'S DECISION B M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 4 | 72.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | DEAL MAKER H M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | TOUCH OF LUCK 早段領放 CP-/V1 V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 56.0 | 56-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE | 30.3% | 3.30 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | THE HULK | 11.6% | 8.61 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | VINCY | 11.5% | 8.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | GOD OF DRAGON | 9.4% | 10.69 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | CLEAR CHOICE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | GREAT TREASURE | 5.1% | 19.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | DEAL MAKER | 4.8% | 20.75 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | PURE LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.41 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 3.8% | 25.99 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | TANGMERE | 3.1% | 31.94 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.7% | 37.50 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | HANG'S DECISION | 2.5% | 40.15 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 2.3% | 42.76 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 78
PLACE
3 22.5
7 63.5
11 172.5
QUINELLA
3,7 798
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 220.5
3,11 891
7,11 1,464
FORECAST
3,7 2,004
TIERCE
3,7,11 57,682
TRIO
3,7,11 16,936
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 44,219
QUARTET
3,7,11,4 1,012,132
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,14/3,7,11 1,703,455
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 240
9/7 63.5